Friday - Eircom Premier League (Ireland) - Value bet.

[Betting4Fun]

The game having on mind for today is between Cork City and Bray.Cork which is ranked 3rd will be hostig Bray (ranked 9)today.Cork lost real chances to get the 1st place this season and won 5 of 11 matches at home,(less than 50% success),on the other hand there is a team that lost 5 of 11 away matches this season.Cork has scored 15 goals in 11 home matches,pretty low ave if you ask me of ~1.4 goals per match and have solid defence conceding just 7 goals in those 11 matches.Cork best striker and scorer Dave Mooney (15 goals this season) has been sold this week to Reading ,on top of it 2nd striker who scored 4 goals this season doubtful for today match as well due to injury.in previous sessions between these two this season the score in first match at Cork was 0-0 while in the 2nd encounter Cork has won away 3-0 where in that particular match Bray was missing its regular GK.in light of the statistical data as well as the fact Cork has lost a real chance for 1st spot and selling its best striker and might be missing its 2nd best striker for the game today too i find the AH over Bray very tempting and suggest picking Bray +1.25 or +1.50 without any 2nd thoughts,another option to consider will be playing u2.5 here since Cork even with its best strikers based on stats not scoring much and will be missing him today along with the fact first encounter on that pitch finished tied 0-0,good chances to see this happening again today.Line i found for +1.5 AH over bray is at about 1.90 (-110) and for the u2.5 @ 1.95 (-105),seems pretty valuable to me in light of the stats and absences today.

GL.

 

[Betting4Fun]

Just to add previous encounters betwen the two show Cork never had easy life playing Bray home or away,just another reason to believe it is not going to be any different today.

<TABLE class=text cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 width=600 align=center border=0><TBODY><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD class=textwhiteb align=middle bgColor=#003399 colSpan=5>Recent Encounters </TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD align=left width=190 bgColor=#edeef3>23/05/08</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#edeef3>Bray </TD><TD align=middle width=50 bgColor=#edeef3>0-3</TD><TD align=left bgColor=#edeef3>Cork City</TD><TD align=right width=190 bgColor=#edeef3>Ireland - Eircom L.</TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD align=left width=190 bgColor=#ffffff>07/03/08</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>Cork City</TD><TD align=middle width=50 bgColor=#ffffff>0-0</TD><TD align=left bgColor=#ffffff>Bray </TD><TD align=right width=190 bgColor=#ffffff>Ireland - Eircom L.</TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD align=left width=190 bgColor=#edeef3>12/10/07</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#edeef3>Bray </TD><TD align=middle width=50 bgColor=#edeef3>1-1</TD><TD align=left bgColor=#edeef3>Cork City</TD><TD align=right width=190 bgColor=#edeef3>Ireland - Eircom L.</TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD align=left width=190 bgColor=#ffffff>27/08/07</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>Cork City</TD><TD align=middle width=50 bgColor=#ffffff>2-2</TD><TD align=left bgColor=#ffffff>Bray </TD><TD align=right width=190 bgColor=#ffffff>Ireland - Eircom L.</TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD align=left width=190 bgColor=#edeef3>20/04/07</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#edeef3>Bray </TD><TD align=middle width=50 bgColor=#edeef3>1-1</TD><TD align=left bgColor=#edeef3>Cork City</TD><TD align=right width=190 bgColor=#edeef3>Ireland - Eircom L.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Draw for the gamblers is the pick here but i will be more conservative today and play the AH line @ 1.90 for Bray +1.5

Bray +1.25 is @ 2.15 (+115) at my book,cetainly can't find any reason why Cork will be here rated @ 1.40 (-250) ML with their history vs Bray along with missing 2 players who scored over half their goals this season.(19 out of 33 goals in total in 22 games so far)

GL.

 

[Betting4Fun]

can't find any reason why Cork will be here rated @ 1.40 (-250) ML with their history vs Bray along with missing 2 players who scored over half their goals this season.(19 out of 33 goals in total in 22 games so far)

In light of that playing the u2.5 as well @ 1.95 for this match today.
Lines really seem to me odd in light of the missing players and the solid defence of Cork,but i'll take that without any 2nd thoughts.

Only way this goes over is comedy of errors and mistakes,0-0 seems to me more likely for this one.Bray offense is poor and Cork without best two strikers not seem to be much better.

GL.

 

[TheBrainiac]

Last games in the league this season right ?

 

[Cusipz]

I took the under 2.5 for a bit (got -117, bleh).

Looking for 1-0 or 1-1, GL.

 

[Betting4Fun]

Last games in the league this season right ?

Nope,3 rounds of 11 games,so 11 rounds to go,today they start the 3rd batch of 11 games.

 

[Betting4Fun]

I took the under 2.5 for a bit (got -117, bleh).

Looking for 1-0 or 1-1, GL.

Best of luck MF,don't you have AH on Bray in your book?just wondering or you see Cork winning by 2 here today?

 

[quantumleap]

I wasn't aware that their 2nd striker would be missing. Good info.

 

[MrCleo]

i'm taking +1.5 thanks/good luck

 

[Cusipz]

I have the +1.5, but steep juice -139. So just sticking with the under angle.

Thanks for the write up.

 

[Betting4Fun]

I wasn't aware that their 2nd striker would be missing. Good info.

the 2nd striker is O'Flynn,injured last week,responding well for treatments,might start today,he is far of Mooney tho with 4 goals in 22 games,so not much of a concern imo be it in or out.

GL EV1

 

[Betting4Fun]

Sounds like another Cork midfielder D.Behan (4 goals) will be absent today according to news i read on some other site along with rumors about Cork fans going to boycot the game being upset with losing the chance to win the title this year losing to Bohenians last round at home and with lots of critics over the way the club being run and financial troubles which caused selling their best player as well to Reading to solve some of the financial troubles Cork is facing.:grandmais

 

[Betting4Fun]

I have the +1.5, but steep juice -139. So just sticking with the under angle.

Thanks for the write up.

I still find it relatively good price in light of all the news around and game history between the two.really doubt Cork ability to win by 2 today but each and his own,respecting your call and gl.

 

[Cusipz]

Well, since I cashed the very lucky under on USA hoops this morning, I put some of that cash on the +1.5 -139 and a bit on the draw (+370) as well.

0-0 or 1-1 would be the trifecta. :toast:

GL guys.

 

[Betting4Fun]

Well, since I cashed the very lucky under on USA hoops this morning, I put some of that cash on the +1.5 -139 and a bit on the draw (+370) as well.

0-0 or 1-1 would be the trifecta. :toast:

GL guys.

WTG and BOL

 

[GreenDoberman]

I'm fine with them kicking the ball around for 90 minutes not even attempting to score. Go team under!

 

[Betting4Fun]

I'm fine with them kicking the ball around for 90 minutes not even attempting to score. Go team under!

Hahaha..thats a good one and actually not that far of reality,one of the most boring leagues to watch is that one.guess we all in agreement here..gl :lolBIG:

 

[Cusipz]

Game on....Let's go Wanderers Under/+1.5/Draw

 

[Cusipz]

Ugh, 1-0 Cork at 15 mins...Need to step up the D....!

 

[Betting4Fun]

Ugh, 1-0 Cork at 15 mins...Need to step up the D....!

Shame i checked the myp2p,they show some game from Irish league live now'unfortunately not that one..seems like we might have to sweat that one..hopefully gonna be ok